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Tuesday, 4 August 2020

Revealed: 80% of new Covid-19 cases in one part of Greater Manchester are among white people as local health boss warns of 'complacent middle class'

  • Eleanor Roaf, the director of public health in Trafford, made the claims
  • But she warned most cases in Trafford were in the 'nice leafy suburbs'
  • She suspects young people are catching the virus after going out to pubs
  • They are then spreading the coronavirus to their parents in small households  
Eighty per cent of new Covid-19 cases in one badly-hit part of Greater Manchester are among white people, according to a local official.
Councillors in other parts of the North West — including Blackburn — have warned spikes in coronavirus cases are being driven by the Asian community.
But Eleanor Roaf, director of public health in Trafford, says cases in the borough — home to 235,000 people — are centered in the 'nice leafy suburbs'. 
She fears a 'complacent white middle class' will wrongly believe the disease is 'not affecting them because it's about overcrowding in ethnic minority families'. 
Official NHS figures show the infection rate in Trafford, one of the wealthiest of the 10 boroughs in Greater Manchester, is now starting to decline. 
The borough saw 32.6 cases for every 100,000 people between July 26 and August 1 — 10 per cent lower than the week before. Separate data released on Friday showed Trafford's infection rate had tripled in just one week, from 10.2 to 36.8.   
Only one authority in Greater Manchester — Wigan — is not named in the list of the 20 areas with the highest infection rates in England.
Health chiefs banned all 2.8million residents in the region from meeting anyone from different households indoors, in a drastic move announced with just three hours' notice last Friday.
Ms Roaf said many of the cases in Trafford were among 17 to 22 year olds but now more people in their 30s, 40s and 50s are testing positive. 
She suspects young people going out to pubs and bars are getting infected, and then spreading the coronavirus to their parents. 
The weekly coronavirus infection rate — the number of cases diagnosed for every 100,000 people — has doubled in a fortnight in Trafford, from 10.2 in a report released on July 23 to 36.8 in the most recent Public Health England figures published on Friday
The weekly coronavirus infection rate — the number of cases diagnosed for every 100,000 people — has doubled in a fortnight in Trafford, from 10.2 in a report released on July 23 to 36.8 in the most recent Public Health England figures published on Friday
The infection rate in Oldham, the second worst-hit authority in all of England, has also risen — from 18.3 to 54.3
The infection rate in Oldham, the second worst-hit authority in all of England, has also risen — from 18.3 to 54.3
The city of Manchester's Covid-19 case rate was 21 at the end of June and dipped slightly over the first few weeks of July. But it has shot back up in the past fortnight, from 13 to 22.1
The city of Manchester's Covid-19 case rate was 21 at the end of June and dipped slightly over the first few weeks of July. But it has shot back up in the past fortnight, from 13 to 22.1
Infection rates released by health officials yesterday - for the period of July 25 to 31 - show how cases are increasing in all but three of the ten boroughs of Greater Manchester
Infection rates released by health officials yesterday - for the period of July 25 to 31 - show how cases are increasing in all but three of the ten boroughs of Greater Manchester
This graph shows the number of infections across Greater Manchester from July 1 to July 29, two days before the new lockdown measures were reintroduced
This graph shows the number of infections across Greater Manchester from July 1 to July 29, two days before the new lockdown measures were reintroduced
Greater Manchester Police (GMP) and local bosses declared a major incident on Sunday, amid concern about the rising infection rates across the region.  
It followed new lockdown style rules being implemented across Greater Manchester, as well as parts of Lancashire and West Yorkshire, on Friday. Much of the coverage of the region’s rise in infections has focused on Oldham, which has the second highest infection rate in England.
Local health officials said last week that two-thirds of new cases (261 in the past two weeks) were in the town’s Pakistani and Bangladeshi communities. 
It followed the news that around 85 per cent of new cases in the hardest hit authority in England — Blackburn with Darwen, in Lancashire — were among the South Asian population.
But in Trafford, a wealthy area that stretches to the outskirts on Greater Manchester, most of the new cases — some 162 in the past two weeks — are in white people, Ms Roaf revealed.  
'Ninety-two per cent of cases had ethnicity recorded and of those 80 per cent were white,' she told The Guardian
'The Trafford narrative is that it is a very white outbreak in Trafford. In other places the narrative is quite different.
'One of the anxieties is that we don’t end up with a complacent white middle class thinking it’s not affecting them because they think it’s about overcrowding in ethnic minority families.'
Public health statistics show BAME populations have higher death and infection rates than other population groups. 
Health experts say this could be partly blamed on greater health inequalities and more underlying health issues, along with cultural and traditional differences.
Asian people often have bigger families living together with older generations in smaller terraced houses, with many in public-facing jobs such as in the NHS or taxi drivers, creating a greater risk of household transmission.
This may be driving cases in some parts of Greater Manchester, Ms Roaf said, particularly Rochdale, Oldham and Blackburn.
Speaking on the BBC Newscast podcast, Ms Roaf said: 'In those areas where you've got very big households, you've got quite a lot of people all mixing together and quite often they are working in occupations where they have a lot of face to face contact with people.'
But in Trafford she said 'infection rates are spreading through people going out and about more and perhaps the relaxing of the night time economy'.  
Ms Roaf said the data suggests young people are catching the coronavirus after going out to bars and pubs before spreading it to their parents.  
'When we've seen households with high levels of infection it's been parents with a couple of children. We haven’t seen spread between these three and four generational households.
'I suspect the young people have been going out more from what they have been saying [to NHS contact tracers].
Eleanor Roaf, the director of public health in Trafford, said there are fears of a 'complacent middle class' in Trafford. Pictured: Groups of people - including eight women who appear to be celebrating a hen do - were pictured meeting for drinks in the city centre on Sunday
Eleanor Roaf, the director of public health in Trafford, said there are fears of a 'complacent middle class' in Trafford. Pictured: Groups of people - including eight women who appear to be celebrating a hen do - were pictured meeting for drinks in the city centre on SundayMs Roaf suspects young people going out to pubs and bars and then spreading the coronavirus to their parents. Pictured: A group of friends out on the town have a hug on Manchester's Wilmslow Road which was packed on Saturday night
Ms Roaf suspects young people going out to pubs and bars and then spreading the coronavirus to their parents. Pictured: A group of friends out on the town have a hug on Manchester's Wilmslow Road which was packed on Saturday night
'It's in nice leafy suburbs around Trafford not in our deprived populations. It's general spread, and that’s what's worrying for me. 
'I'm really worried that white population maybe is hearing that messaging and thinking, "oh this isn’t about me, I can continue to do what and want". And actually no you can't, no one can.'
Dr Ben Ainsworth, a psychologist at Bath University, said generally, young people are more likely to risk going out and mixing with other people.
He told MailOnline: 'We know that people constantly balance how much they can obey guidelines with how much they need to. It's called risk perception.
'Young people perceive a less immediate risk of catching the virus. And to be honest, the guidelines to date have not been aimed at young people. 
'So we really, really need to make sure that clear advice is available and accessible, and also relevant to their contexts.'
And speaking of risk perceptions in people who live in deprived areas, Dr Ainsworth, who helped launch the Government-funded website Germ Defense, said: 'More deprived communities will find that challenging. They might not have a job they can't do at home.
'Even if you think the risk is really important but you have to go to work to eat, you will go to work.'  
The infection rate in Manchester city was hovering at around 12 cases per 100,000 people in July before it almost doubled in the last week of the month.
Data from Public Health England shows there were 22.1 case per 100,000 in the week ending July 31.  
Infection rates increased in nine out of 10 boroughs in the area between July 22 and 29, two days before the new rules were introduced.
But data released today showed rates between July 26 and August 1 have dropped in four boroughs in Greater Manchester.
Oldham has the highest infection rate, with 54.3 cases per 100,000 people for the week ending July 31. 
It is followed by Trafford (36.8), Rochdale (32.7), Manchester (22.1), Stockport (16.5), Salford (18.1), Tameside (15.5), Bolton (14), Bury (12.1) and Wigan (6.7). 

CORONAVIRUS R RATE COULD BE AS HIGH AS 1.1 IN THE NORTH WEST 

The coronavirus reproduction rate could be as high as 1.1 in the North West of England, according to figures released yesterday — as separate data revealed infections have doubled in a week in locked-down parts of Greater Manchester.
Researchers from the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine estimate the 'R' level has risen well above the danger zone in the North West, where 4.5million people were put under tough new lockdown measures last week because of a spike in cases. 
The R - which represents the average number of people an infected Covid-19 patient passes the disease to - must stay below 1 or the virus will start to grow exponentially.
The data, compiled by the university's Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, suggests cases in the region could double in 56 days if the R rate is not squashed. 
But the estimates are slightly out of date due to a lag in the way the reproduction rate is calculated, meaning they only go up to July 18. Any effect last week's lockdown might've had on the R value won't show up in the figures for several weeks.
Separate worrying figures published by Public Health England today show that infection rates increased in nine out of 10 boroughs in Manchester between July 22 and 29, two days before the new rules were introduced. 
Rochdale was the only place where cases were not on the rise but infections have now also started to dip in Wigan and Bolton after a weekend of lockdown measures.
Oldham, the second worst affected borough in England, saw 148 cases over the week — taking its rate from 41.6 to 62.8 cases per 100,000 people. Rates in both the City of Manchester and Tameside have more than doubled in seven days.

Female primary school teacher is sacked over affair with pupil's father and string of 'inappropriate' relationships with other parents

  • Ann Brenen was sacked from Westoe Crown Primary School amid staff concerns
  • Colleagues were worried about her 'inappropriate' relationships with parents
  • The South Shields teacher saw an appeal and an unfair dismissal case both fail 
  • Do you know what happened? Contact us at luke.may@mailonline.co.uk
A primary school has been sacked from her position over an affair with a pupil's father and a string of 'inappropriate' relationships with other parents.  
Colleagues raised concerns over Ann Brenen's 'inappropriate' relationships with several parents at Westoe Crown Primary School in South Shields.  
According to The Times, she started a sexual relationship with one parents' father following a parents' evening meeting. 
Westoe Crown Primary School in South Shields sacked Ann Brenen amid fears of 'inappropriate' relationships with several parents
Westoe Crown Primary School in South Shields sacked Ann Brenen amid fears of 'inappropriate' relationships with several parents
After separating from her husband, Mrs Brenen began asking the same pupil into her classroom to do jobs, an employment tribunal in North Shields heard.
As rumours started to fly, a teaching assistant claimed she saw Mrs Brenen's car outside the father's house.
A committee heard Mrs Brenen lied to the school's headteacher when asked about it, claiming they were only friends.  She was sacked for gross misconduct amid concerns she was not properly safeguarding children.  
Mrs Brenen, who was considered one of the school's 'Leaders of Learning,' launched an appeal to win back her job, but it was failed.
She then filed a claim for unfair dismissial and disability discrimination on the grounds she was depressed. 
The case was dismissed.
A panel ruled she was guilty of a 'serious breach of the standards expected,' of a senior teacher. 
The tribunal judgment stated: 'In her evidence to the tribunal, [Mrs Brenen] said she started a sexual relationship with the father of pupil F, a child at her school. 
'The claimant did not disclose that relationship to the head teacher. She said she did not do so because it only lasted a short time.
“The claimant’s inability to recognise safeguarding issues was clearly a serious matter for the respondent. Her actions amounted to gross misconduct.' 

Tragic last Instagram post of Will Young's brother: Singer's twin shared picture of the pair together as children in 1984 weeks before his death aged 41

Will Young's twin brother Rupert paid tribute to their bond in his last social media post before his death.
Rupert, 41, posted the snap of the pair online just four weeks ago and showed the pair on a hay bale looking identical.
One friend of him remarked on the picture, which was a copy of a physical glossy photograph, adding 'Amazing what you find in Lockdown isn't it?'
The picture was posted on Rupert's publicly viewable Instagram account last month and showed a childhood snap of him and Will back in 1984 sat on a hay bale grinning
The picture was posted on Rupert's publicly viewable Instagram account last month and showed a childhood snap of him and Will back in 1984 sat on a hay bale grinning
Will Young and his twin brother Rupert pictured at a party in 2009. Rupert has now passed away
Will Young and his twin brother Rupert pictured at a party in 2009. Rupert has now passed away
He also admitted his sibling's Pop Idol win in 2002 had impacted their relationship, but his poignant final post shows their brotherly love. 
Rupert was diagnosed with dysthymia – a depressive mood disorder – in 2005. 
The circumstances surrounding his death are unclear, though a spokeswoman confirmed Rupert died yesterday, according to the SunHis family, including brother Will who was born 10 minutes before Rupert, are said to have been left wracked by grief.  
A friend said: 'Will's relationship with Rupert had been tough over the years at times, and they had both spoken about the mental health problems which had made it challenging.
'But there were hopes he had turned a corner and they are a very loving family - and utterly devastated by his passing.'
Rupert, 41, previously spoke about his struggles with alcohol and depression and his brother Will has also shared how it affected their family
Rupert, 41, previously spoke about his struggles with alcohol and depression and his brother Will has also shared how it affected their family
Rupert would wear long-sleeved T-shirts for most of his life, to hide the scars of his self-harm. 
In a 2008 interview, Rupert shared the extent of his struggles.  
He said: 'I woke up one morning and turned on the TV.
'There was William on Richard & Judy, giving the most amazing performance of one of his songs.
'I had spent the night before drinking with tramps in a car park and cutting myself. 
'It seemed bizarre to me that two people who are genetically the same could behave in such different ways.
Will, who was born 10 minutes before his brother, has shared Rupert's struggles with alcohol in the past
Will, who was born 10 minutes before his brother, has shared Rupert's struggles with alcohol in the past

Rupert Young's life-long battle with alcoholism and depression 

In an interview in 2008, Rupert Young said his mental health struggles started at a prep school in Berkshire. 
He said he and his brother Will were treated differently there, despite being twins, and he was seen as a 'wrong 'un'. 
Rupert then moved on to Wellington College, where he said he discovered alcohol, beginning his troubles with alcoholism. It was also in college that he started cutting himself. 
He said he knew he drank 'in a different way' to everyone else, started in midweek and getting very aggressive when drunk.   
His friends celebrated the end of their A-levels with a week of partying, but Rupert said he 'never stopped', hiding his drinking from his parents, Robin and Annabel, at the family home in Hungerford.   
He also admitted to using his brother's weekly Pop Idol success as an excuse to drink. 
It was during Pop Idol that he took a bread knife and slashed his wrists, nearly bleeding to death at the bottom of a stairwell in a block of flats. 
He was taken to hospital, but discharged himself the next day and returned to London with a long-sleeved jumper covering his arms, his family and friends none the wiser. 
His brother eventually helped get him a job as an assistant floor manager.
However, his drinking saw him leave the role soon after and he attempted suicide once again. 
He was later sectioned in a north London hospital, but escaped after 24 hours and, though he had stints in other hospitals, his depression was never diagnosed. 
Rupert admitted that his family had to let him go, and estimated that his parents spent more than £120,000 on his treatment.
In the summer of 2005, Rupert enrolled in a 40-day programme at the notorious Sierra Tucson treatment centre in the Arizona desert. 
It was here that, for the first time, his depression was diagnosed, stemming from his childhood. 
He was diagnosed with dysthymia – a depressive mood disorder . 
He returned to Britain, working as a dog walker and throwing himself into his Mood Foundation charity. 
In recent years, it was thought that he had turned the corner, before he was found dead yesterday. 
A friend said: 'Will's relationship with Rupert had been tough over the years at times, and they had both spoken about the mental health problems which had made it challenging.
'But there were hopes he had turned a corner and they are a very loving family - and utterly devastated by his passing.'
'I realised that something had gone very wrong. But I didn't know what, or why, and nor did anyone else.
'I was in and out of hospital more than 10 times.
'I saw the top doctors and psychiatrists in the country, but the mental health system here is overloaded…I was never actually properly assessed.
'They just told me I was an addict and that was why I was the way I was. It took 20 years and huge expense to get me to a safe place. Those are not options that most other people have.'
He later got himself clean and set up the Mood Foundation, a charity that built a national database of private therapists who offered free, one-to-one treatment to anyone over 18 diagnosed with depression or anxiety.
He said at the time: ''My aim is to help people suffering from depressive conditions who are being prevented from recovery because they cannot afford the correct treatment or they do not meet the correct 'threshold' to access the appropriate services.
'One sufferer affects the lives of everyone around them.' 
He added that his time at a prep school in Bershire is where 'it started', referring to his mental health struggles. 
He said he and will were given 'very different identities' and he was seen as the 'wrong 'un'.   
At Wellington College, Rupert discovered alcohol.
He said he knew he drank 'in a different way' to everyone else, started midweek and getting very aggressive when drunk.  
Rupert said it was also at college when he started cutting himself.  
His friends celebrated the end of their A-levels with a week of partying, but Rupert said he 'never stopped', hiding his drinking from his parents, Robin and Annabel, at the family home in Hungerford.  
Rupert told the Telegraph in 2008: 'When Mum came into the room or Dad came home from work, I shoved bottles behind sofas, under cushions, decanted into mugs of tea. In my mind I wasn't an alcoholic because I wasn't old enough to be.' 
He also admitted to using his brother's weekly Pop Idol success as an excuse to drink. 
It was during Pop Idol, in Bristol, that he took a bread knife and slashed his wrists, nearly bleeding to death at the bottom of a stairwell in a block of flats. 
He was taken to hospital, but discharged himself the next day and returned to London with a long-sleeved jumper covering his arms, his family and friends none the wiser.   
His brother eventually helped get him a job as an assistant floor manager.
However, his drinking saw him leave the role soon after and he attempted suicide once again. 
He was later sectioned in a north London hospital, but escaped after 24 hours and, though he had stints in other hospitals, his depression was never diagnosed. 
Rupert admitted that his family had to let him go, and estimated that his parents spent more than £120,000 on his treatment.
In the summer of 2005, Rupert enrolled in a 40-day programme at the notorious Sierra Tucson treatment centre in the Arizona desert. 
It was here that, for the first time, his depression was diagnosed, stemming from his childhood. 
He was diagnosed with dysthymia – a depressive mood disorder . 
He returned to Britain, working as a dog walker and throwing himself into his Mood Foundation charity. 
In recent years, it was thought that he had turned the corner, before he was found dead yesterday. 
Rupert Young was accused of launching an unprovoked attack on a clubber, at Middlesex Guildhall Crown Court on July 26, 2004
Rupert Young was accused of launching an unprovoked attack on a clubber, at Middlesex Guildhall Crown Court on July 26, 2004
Rupert, 41, previously spoke about his struggles with alcohol and depression
Rupert, 41, previously spoke about his struggles with alcohol and depression
Rupert, 41, previously spoke about his struggles with alcohol and depression. He was diagnosed with dysthymia – a depressive mood disorder – in 2005
Singer Will has also previously opened up on his brother's alcoholism, admitting he had once been forced to 'walk away'.
He said: 'It was the family stepping away that actually got him better.
'It's very tough having a family member who is an addict. But when you're dealing with that you eventually have to just stop and look after yourself. 
'Me, my parents, my older sister, everyone. We all just had to walk away. We had to leave him.
'There was a moment I remember, when I had to go to some awards thing. I had an album out, I was in a film and I was having a great time professionally.
'I had to drive past the train station, and I knew that he'd been there for a day, just drinking.
'But I knew I had to leave him alone. That was tough, of course it was, but you have to get on.
'And in that respect being so involved in work was a great thing.
'Otherwise I would have just stopped and it would have got on top of me much more.
'It was very tricky.'  
A spokeswoman for Will last night confirmed: 'I can confirm that Will's brother has very sadly passed away.
'We would like to request privacy for Will and his family during this very difficult and sad time.'
Will previously revealed how he had been temporarily separated from his twin brother at birth, when Rupert was placed in an incubator due to illness, something which had caused the singer long-term psychological damage.
He later received six months of treatment for PTSD, triggered by their separation, his years of keeping his homosexuality a secret and being bullied at school.
For confidential support call the Samaritans on 116123 or visit a local Samaritans branch, see www.samaritans.org for details.